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The Aspen Institute

The Aspen Institute is a global nonprofit founded in 1949 that works toward a free, just, and equitable society through dialogue, leadership, and action on challenges facing the United States and the world.

Russia’s Proxy Network Raises Risks as the Regime Weakens

Investigative journalist Christo Grozev argues that Russia’s growing use of private forces, proxies and hired operatives has made its foreign operations less predictable and harder for Western governments to deter. Speaking with The Wall Street Journal’s Yaroslav Trofimov after a screening of Antidote, Grozev said Moscow treats its confrontation with the West as an active war while relying on a dispersed network whose violence may exceed the control or competence of any single command structure. He also contends that corruption, economic strain and elite self-interest are eroding the system behind that threat, though a post-Putin Russia would not necessarily become democratic.

Yaroslav TrofimovJul 31, 202610 min read

Employers Must Redesign Hiring and Jobs for a Permanently Tighter Labor Market

Steve Dawson and Jerry Rubin argue in Help Wanted that employers should treat the tight labor market as a structural condition, not a temporary hiring cycle that will reverse on its own. They contend that demographic change, lower workforce participation, and limits on immigration require businesses to redesign how they recruit, train, advance, and retain workers—starting with the barriers that screen out or drive away people they need. Their case is that employee-centered practices are not a generic fix but an operational response that must account for each employer’s job design, incentives, and workforce.

Maureen Conway · Steven Dawson · Jerry RubinJul 30, 202613 min read

Climate Projections Show How Human Choices Shape a Hotter Earth

Climate scientist Kate Marvel argues that a warming planet is already intensifying heat, storms, drought, fire weather and sea-level rise, but that climate models describe conditional futures rather than an inevitable outcome. In a live recording of Scientista, Marvel tells co-hosts Sweta Chakraborty and Monica Medina that ending carbon-dioxide emissions would, by the best current estimate, produce no further warming beyond that point—and that communicating the stakes requires scientists to acknowledge feeling as well as fact. Earth, she argues, remains the only “Good Planet” people have to protect.

Tom Skilling · Sweta Chakraborty · Monica Medina · Kate MarvelJul 30, 20267 min read

Historical Flood Models No Longer Match Current Climate Risk

Climate scientist Sarah Kapnick argues that climate adaptation has become a present-tense management problem because the statistical patterns underlying historical weather and infrastructure design no longer reliably describe current risk. She says companies and governments should treat flood protection, operational continuity and financing as revisable planning decisions—made at both asset and community scale—rather than rely on return periods or wait for a disaster to force action.

Al Roker · Sarah Kapnick · Tom SkillingJul 30, 20268 min read

Children’s Climate Media Must Pair Honest Facts With Agency

Children are already experiencing climate disruption, and adults should not respond by leaving them to make sense of it alone, Laura Schifter argued in an Aspen Ideas: Climate panel with Al Roker, Sesame Workshop’s Kay Wilson Stallings and producer J.J. Johnson. The panelists said children’s media should match facts and emotional stakes to a viewer’s age—from nature and small acts of care for preschoolers to more direct accounts of danger for older children—while giving them characters, trusted adults and practical ways to act rather than asking them to carry the problem themselves.

Al Roker · James Johnson · Kay Stallings · Laura SchifterJul 30, 202612 min read

Employers Must Redesign Hiring and Retention for a Permanently Tight Labor Market

Steve Dawson and Jerry Rubin argue in Help Wanted that a shrinking and changing workforce makes labor scarcity a long-term business condition, not a cycle employers can wait out. They contend that employers must compete for talent by changing how they recruit, train, manage, and retain workers—especially people routinely filtered out by conventional hiring systems. Their case for employee-centered strategy extends beyond wages to job design, workforce partnerships, and management practices that give workers a role in solving the problems that drive turnover.

Jerry Rubin · Maureen Conway · Steve DawsonJul 30, 202612 min read

Battery Storage’s Next Bottleneck Is Market Design

Battery storage has become practical grid infrastructure, but its further expansion will depend less on cell costs than on whether power markets and regulators pay for the capacity, congestion relief and reliability it provides, said Jupiter Power’s Jack Godshall. Falling costs have made storage deployable, but scaling it requires systems that can value its services, supply equipment affordably and operate a growing fleet. Chibueze Amanchukwu of the University of Chicago argued that sodium-ion and other earth-abundant chemistries illustrate the trade-off: they could lower costs, improve safety and reduce supply-chain dependence, but must compete with increasingly cheap lithium-ion.

Kelly Speakes-Backman · Jack Godshall · Robinson Meyer · Lindsey Griffith · Tony HendersonJul 29, 202612 min read

Energy Affordability Is Reshaping Climate Politics Across Party Lines

Energy politics is increasingly being fought through affordability rather than explicit climate language, as candidates tie electricity bills, insurance costs and new demand from data centers to household budgets. Mitch Stewart, Brandon Hurlbut and Neil Chatterjee differed over how that shift should shape campaigns and policy, but the discussion’s central tension was clear: pressure to lower costs can support cleaner generation, grid investment and flexibility, or extend the life of fossil-fuel generation and weaken climate commitments.

Brandon Hurlbut · Neil Chatterjee · Mitch Stewart · Julia PyperJul 29, 202613 min read

Water Makes Climate Risk a Fight Over Access and Control

Water is where climate risk becomes an immediate political question: who absorbs flood losses, controls public systems, pays for resilience, and decides how a shared supply is used. In this Aspen Ideas: Climate discussion, organizers and water-policy advocates Alaina Harkness, Melissa Roberts, Colette Battle, and Ryan Strode argue that water can unite people across political divides because its consequences are felt in homes and communities—but that durable resilience depends on local authority, public investment, and organizing that turns opposition into a plan for stewardship.

Melissa Roberts · Ryan Strode · Alaina Harkness · Michelle Parker · Colette BattleJul 29, 202611 min read

Food as Medicine Depends on Farms, Kitchens, and Community

Food as medicine depends on more than getting healthier ingredients onto a plate, argues moderator Corby Kummer and a panel of Chicago chefs and food-system leaders: it requires affordable access, viable farms, cooking knowledge and time to turn food into meals. Rick Bayless cautions that treating food as medicine can strip it of pleasure, while Cliff Rome and Sarah Stegner describe teaching kitchens, markets and farmer-support programs as ways to make fresh, local food a durable part of household and community life.

Corby Kummer · Joanne Rodriguez · Rick Bayless · Cliff Rome · Sarah Stegner · Carly GlickenhausJul 29, 202612 min read

Midwest Climate Development Faces a Test of Cost, Trust, and Local Power

Midwest climate and energy development will endure only if it lowers household costs, reduces local risks and gives residents a meaningful say over projects reshaping their communities, according to Anika Goss, Stephanie Lawson and John Mitterholzer. They argue that data centers, solar buildouts and land reuse should be judged not simply by their climate claims, but by their effects on electricity and water bills, heat, pollution and neighborhood control. The practical task, they say, is to equip local governments and residents with the information, financing and leverage to set better terms before opposition hardens.

John Mitterholzer · Anika Goss · Karen Weigert · Stephanie Lawson · Michelle ParkerJul 29, 202611 min read

Maritime Biofuel Rules Must Balance Bankable Demand and Lifecycle Risk

Maritime decarbonization will depend less on choosing a single replacement fuel than on whether global rules can create bankable demand while distinguishing genuinely lower-carbon supply chains from those that shift emissions elsewhere, the speakers argue. Rod Snyder said shipping is headed toward a multi-fuel future, with U.S. ethanol, woody biomass and e-fuels all seeking a role. But Jennifer Aurandt-Pilgrim’s call to credit documented farm and plant improvements clashes with UC Davis researcher Colin Murphy’s warning that lifecycle standards must also account for indirect land-use change and other market effects beyond a producer’s gate.

Mario Ossa · Lee Beck · Colin Murphy · Darrell Smith · Rod Snyder · Jennifer Aurandt-Pilgrim · Ben KrugerJul 29, 202612 min read

Colorado River Negotiations Turn on Who Bears the Shortfall

Colorado River demand has exceeded natural supply for roughly 26 years, drawing down Lakes Mead and Powell as warming reduces runoff even in years of average precipitation, according to Anne Castle and Arizona water director Tom Buschatzke. With current operating rules expiring and no seven-state agreement in place, the basin must decide how to bring use closer to supply—and the article argues that decision cannot be treated as an acre-foot accounting exercise alone. It also bears on tribal access to water rights that have not been developed and on how communities can withstand the economic transition where agricultural use is permanently retired.

Thomas Buschatzke · Anne Castle · Bidtah Becker · Jeff Lukas · Jeff KightlingerJul 29, 202612 min read

Climate Resilience Depends on Community-Led Health Infrastructure

Marshall Hatch, Erik Mikaitis, Kareeshma Ali and Colleen Grogan argue that climate resilience in disinvested neighborhoods cannot be delivered through isolated cooling centers, clinics or green buildings. In West Garfield Park, they say, chronic disease, environmental exposure and limited access to care make climate risk a daily health problem, requiring locally led infrastructure, preventive investment and institutions willing to share power. Their case is for patient capital and durable partnerships that build on community trust rather than exporting short-term solutions.

Marshall Hatch · Kareeshma Ali · Erik Mikaitis · Colleen GroganJul 29, 202613 min read

Blue Finance Requires Revenue, Risk Sharing, and Verifiable Ecological Results

Ocean conservation lacks the dependable revenue streams that private investors typically require, Joan Larrea of Convergence argued, so blue finance must instead connect restoration to avoided losses, sovereign debt savings, supply-chain resilience or other measurable exposures. Larrea, insurance executive Liz Henderson and marine scientist Steven Kessel said debt swaps, catastrophe coverage and corporate-backed arrangements can direct capital toward coastal ecosystems, but only if they account for ecological interdependence, local implementation capacity and credible evidence of results.

Joan Larrea · Ruxandra Guidi · Steven Kessel · Michael Henry · Liz HendersonJul 29, 202612 min read

Democracies’ Strategic Edge Depends on Diplomacy and Allied Unity

Former US ambassador to Russia Michael McFaul argues that democracies retain substantial military, economic, and institutional advantages over authoritarian rivals, but only if they use diplomacy, sustain alliances, and act collectively. McFaul contends that US overreach in Iran, estrangement from democratic partners, and retreat from international institutions risk squandering those advantages as China and Russia challenge the liberal order.

Cristal Logan · Elliot Gerson · Michael McFaulJul 28, 202615 min read

Russia’s Nuclear Bastion Makes Arctic Access a NATO Priority

Russia’s nuclear forces on the Kola Peninsula make the Arctic a direct NATO security concern, Norway’s Chief of Defense Eirik Kristoffersen argues, linking the region to Atlantic defense and U.S. homeland security. Kristoffersen, U.S. Arctic Research Commission chair Thomas Dans and Finnish state secretary Pasi Rajala contend that expanded NATO membership must be matched by ice-capable forces, polar-orbit communications and persistent surveillance. They also argue that alliance coordination should coexist with limited practical cooperation with Russia on shared Arctic problems.

Eirik Kristoffersen · Thomas Dans · Lara Seligman · Pasi Rajala · Jesper SørensenJul 18, 20269 min read

Rwanda Ties Congo Settlement to FDLR Neutralization

Rwandan Interior Minister Vincent Biruta argues that the Washington peace accord will not hold unless the Democratic Republic of the Congo neutralizes the FDLR, which Kigali describes as the enduring security threat behind its defensive measures in eastern Congo. He says Rwanda has met its obligations and wants the United States to pressure both sides more evenly, while rejecting claims that Rwanda is pursuing Congolese territory or directing M23. Biruta presents the dispute as one over security and Congolese governance, rather than a border conflict.

Vincent Biruta · Steve ClemonsJul 18, 20267 min read

Guarantees and Local Capital Are Reframing Development as Shared Security

As official development assistance contracts, Alice Albright argues that foreign assistance should be reframed as a shared national-security and economic interest, with governments using guarantees, commercial tools, and new sources of capital to finance prevention. Alaa Murabit, Ana Zacapa, and Comfort Ero extend that case to locally rooted organizations, rural businesses, and trusted community networks, while warning that resilience finance cannot substitute for diplomacy or institutions able to manage active conflict.

Alice Albright · Comfort Ero · Alaa Murabit · Ana Zacapa · Austin Sawyers · Niamh KingJul 18, 20268 min read

UN Members Must Organize Around the Charter When Veto Powers Fail

Annalena Baerbock, president of the UN General Assembly and Germany’s former foreign minister, argues that the UN’s authority depends less on overcoming great-power vetoes than on its wider membership using the institutions and political leverage it already has. General Assembly votes cannot end wars or replace implementation, she says, but states that share an interest in the UN Charter can set common positions, resist attempts to bypass the system, and press for reforms in representation and management.

Ben Rhodes · Tommy VietorJul 18, 20269 min read

Election Doubt and Unchecked War Policy Erode Institutional Trust

Ben Rhodes and Tommy Vietor argue that public distrust of institutions follows when officials invoke threats to elections or national security without accepting accountability for evidence, consequences, or failure. They distinguish foreign influence campaigns from vote manipulation, warning that unproven election claims can still furnish a pretext to challenge democratic outcomes. In foreign policy, they contend that Congress, public opinion, and stronger diplomatic institutions must constrain a Washington culture that too readily defaults to war, sanctions, and arms transfers.

Ben Rhodes · Ilana Drimmer · Tommy VietorJul 18, 202610 min read

Aspen Security Forum Closes With Recognition of Partners and Staff

Niamh King closed the 2024 Aspen Security Forum by crediting the partners, attendees, speakers, public officials, media, Aspen Institute leadership and staff behind four days of programming. She singled out Anja Manuel for her discussion of American trade with Jamieson Greer, thanked the organizing team for its work, and recognized the forum’s corporate and foundation partners. King reserved her final acknowledgment for Aspen’s “big fat bears and terrifying moose,” which she said brought a “frisson” to the conference.

Niamh KingJul 17, 20262 min read

American Resilience Depends on Defending Civic Rather Than Hereditary Institutions

The American inheritance is civic rather than hereditary, and its durability depends on institutions that are defended rather than merely celebrated. Karl Rove warned that treating American identity as a matter of ancestry reverses the Declaration’s anti-aristocratic premise, while Kori Schake and Jane Harman argued that political pressure on the military and failures of constitutional restraint put democratic norms at risk. Their shared case was that American resilience is a historical record, not a guarantee.

Edward Luce · Karl Rove · Jane Harman · Kori Schake · Bryan FentonJul 17, 20269 min read

Security Plans Fail Without Legitimate Political Authority

Salam Fayyad, Kim Ghattas, Amaney Jamal and Herro Mustafa argue that the Middle East’s security crises cannot be resolved through military pressure or technocratic arrangements alone. In Lebanon, Gaza and Iraq, they say, armed groups can be constrained only by institutions with the authority, capacity and political legitimacy to govern; regional integration, meanwhile, remains tied to Palestinian statehood rather than efforts to bypass it.

Amaney Jamal · David Ignatius · Kim Ghattas · Salam Fayyad · Herro MustafaJul 17, 202611 min read