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Hoover Institution

The Hoover Institution shares videos intended to encourage discussion, generate ideas, and disseminate information related to peace, the human condition, and the role of government.

Ukraine’s Winter Endurance Could Determine the Path to Peace

Polish Foreign Minister Radosław Sikorski argues that Ukraine’s ability to withstand Russia’s attacks on power and heating infrastructure this winter could determine whether peace becomes possible next year. He presents Poland’s response to Russian aggression as a wider strategy: strengthen NATO’s eastern flank with permanent U.S. forces, raise European defense spending, sustain Ukraine financially and militarily, and reduce dependencies that leave Europe vulnerable to coercion.

Radosław Sikorski · Herbert McMasterJul 22, 20269 min read

Poland Ties NATO Deterrence to Forward Forces and Ukrainian Resilience

Polish Foreign Minister Radek Sikorski argues that Russia’s confrontation with the West is already being waged through military pressure, sabotage, disinformation and coercion, requiring NATO to make deterrence tangible on its eastern flank. His case pairs Poland’s defense buildup and industrial integration with U.S. forces positioned near Russia, European capacity to reduce strategic dependencies, and sustained support for Ukraine. A failure to break Ukraine, he contends, would demonstrate that Russian aggression cannot achieve its aims.

Herbert McMaster · Radosław SikorskiJul 21, 20269 min read

Energy Competitiveness Depends on Scaling Grids, Storage, and Supply Chains

America’s energy challenge is not choosing a winning technology but building a power system that can remain affordable, reliable and cleaner as demand rises, the source argues. It makes the case for a coordinated domestic buildout—combining diverse generation, including nuclear, renewables and geothermal, with storage, transmission, smart grids and resilient supply chains. In this account, deployment capacity will determine whether energy innovation strengthens US economic growth, grid resilience and national security amid competition with China.

Jul 20, 20264 min read

The Iliad Finds Human Choice Within Fate and Violence

The Iliad examines what choice and responsibility remain when people are bound by fate, hierarchy, violence and grief. Poet and Freedom Reads founder Reginald Dwayne Betts and EconTalk host Russ Roberts argue that Homer’s warriors continue to make consequential decisions under severe constraint, while the poem measures those decisions through the dead, their families, and the homes and obligations war leaves exposed. Betts draws on his experience of incarceration to illuminate choice within narrowed circumstances, and both readers locate the poem’s moral turn in Achilles’ recognition of Priam’s grief.

Reginald Betts · Russ RobertsJul 20, 202612 min read

Japan Recasts Economic Security as Deterrence Against Coercion

Former Japanese national security adviser Shigeru Kitamura argues that Japan must treat military deterrence, economic resilience, technological protection and alliance coordination as parts of a single strategy against coercion that begins well below the threshold of war. With China’s military expansion and economic leverage reshaping the regional balance, he says Japan should reduce one-sided dependencies while building technological and industrial capabilities that make it strategically indispensable. The US-Japan alliance, in his account, must turn that approach into coordinated action on supply chains, critical technologies, energy and defense capacity.

Herbert McMaster · Shigeru KitamuraJul 15, 202613 min read

Hormuz Closure Exposes Energy Security’s Dependence on Naval Power

Admiral James O. Ellis argues that Iran’s prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz has exposed an energy transition driven less by fuels than by vulnerability: access now depends on geography, military protection and commercial confidence. Replacement oil and gas can ease an immediate shock, he says, but cannot reopen a route that shipowners and crews consider unsafe. Ellis calls for greater naval capacity, allied cooperation and advance planning with Asian partners whose energy supplies depend heavily on Gulf transit.

James EllisJul 15, 20265 min read

Weak Civilian Institutions Are Pulling Indonesia’s Military Into Governance

Norman Joshua argues that Indonesia’s 2025 expansion of the military’s role into cybersecurity, border management and disaster response reflects a broader model of “governance through security,” in which the armed forces compensate for weak civilian administration. While Indonesia faces legitimate defense and regional-security pressures, he contends that assigning civilian functions to security institutions blurs democratic lines of accountability and can entrench the military in domestic governance. His proposed remedy is stronger civilian capacity, not a diminished defense posture.

Norman JoshuaJul 14, 20263 min read

Sanctions Work When Tied to Clear Political Objectives

H.R. McMaster argues that sanctions are effective only when they are tied to a realistic political objective and deployed alongside diplomacy, military power, and allied cooperation. Economic damage alone will not force compliance, he says: policymakers must enforce restrictions, preserve humanitarian access, act before targets adapt, and offer calibrated relief for verifiable changes in behavior.

Herbert McMasterJul 14, 20264 min read

Spin Master Turned Toy Novelties Into Durable Story Worlds

Spin Master co-founder Ronnen Harary argues that the company’s durable successes came when it moved beyond one-time toy novelties and built systems in which play mechanics, characters and stories reinforced one another. In a conversation with EconTalk’s Russ Roberts, Harary traces that shift from Earth Buddy and Devil Sticks to Bakugan and Paw Patrol, while arguing that the company’s longer-term test is whether it can keep generating products without its founders at the center.

Russ Roberts · Ronnen HararyJul 13, 202614 min read

Occupational Licensing Rules Need Evidence on Quality, Access, and Costs

Kyle Rozema framed occupational licensing as a trade-off between public protection and restricted access to work and services, and the panelists applied that test across law, medicine, economics, apprenticeships, screening, and discipline. Jason Hicks, Alicia Plemmons, and Yun Taek Oh largely defended licensing where it plausibly controls quality, but argued that many existing requirements — from portability barriers and recurring exams to opaque character reviews and public discipline — need narrower justification, better evidence, and more transparent design.

Kyle Rozema · Alicia Plemmons · Jason Hicks · Yun OhJul 9, 202619 min read

Occupational Licensing Reform Targets Boards, Degree Requirements, and Speech Restrictions

At a Hoover Institution symposium chaired by Dan Sullivan of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Daniel Graulich, Lisa Knepper and Peter Blair argued that occupational licensing reform is increasingly about who controls the boundaries of work. Graulich framed licensing boards as a competition problem when market participants regulate their rivals; Knepper described litigation over boards’ efforts to absorb speech, advice and new services into licensed occupations; and Blair argued that bachelor’s-degree requirements can restrict labor-market access in much the same way as licenses.

Janna Johnson · Jason Hicks · Lisa Knepper · Peter Blair · Daniel Sullivan · Daniel Graulich · Morris Kleiner · Michael FarrenJul 9, 202619 min read

Focused Deterrence Helped Baltimore Cut Homicides Without Saturation Policing

Steven Davis’s interview with economists Aaron Chalfin and Max Kapustin examines Baltimore’s 2022 adoption of focused deterrence, a strategy aimed at the small number of people, groups, and disputes driving serious gun violence. Chalfin and Kapustin argue that the evidence does not prove the strategy caused Baltimore’s full 60% homicide decline, but that district-level comparisons, crime-specific declines, and changes in enforcement patterns point to a material effect on shootings and homicides. Their case is that focused deterrence is neither saturation policing nor a services-only model, but a targeted approach whose promise depends on sustained coordination among police, prosecutors, service providers, and community leaders.

Max Kapustin · Steven Davis · Aaron ChalfinJul 8, 202616 min read

California’s Initiative System Has Become a Tool for Organized Interests

Lanhee Chen argues that California’s initiative system still serves as an escape valve when Sacramento will not act, but has become increasingly dominated by the moneyed interests, consultants and procedural insiders it was designed to bypass. In a Hoover Institution discussion with Bill Whalen, Chen uses the state’s crowded November ballot to show how direct democracy now functions not only as a vehicle for voter policy choices, but as leverage in negotiations, a turnout tool and a way for entrenched actors to preserve power.

Bill Whalen · Lanhee ChenJul 7, 202621 min read

Communications Has Become Part of How Political Power Is Exercised

David Yelland, the former Sun editor turned communications adviser, argues that public relations has become part of the machinery of power rather than a layer applied after decisions are made. In conversation with Andrew Roberts, he says the collapse of mass tabloid influence, the rise of financial media and digital platforms, and the speed of modern politics have made communication central to how governments, companies, monarchies, and foreign states exercise authority. His recurring test is whether the principal is credible enough to lead that process, because even the strongest advisers cannot rescue a leader the public does not believe.

Andrew Roberts · David YellandJul 7, 202623 min read

Achilles’ Rage Exposes the Fragile Economy of Honor and Trust

In an EconTalk Book Club conversation, Shalem College’s Ido Hevroni and Russ Roberts read Homer’s Iliad as a poem about Achilles’ rage rather than a general account of the Trojan War. Hevroni argues that the quarrel between Achilles and Agamemnon exposes a moral economy of honor, hierarchy, trust, and duty, while the poem’s gods and violence make visible powers that still shape human life. Teaching the Iliad to students returning from war, he says, has made its account of betrayal, loyalty, and moral judgment less remote without reducing it to a book only for soldiers.

Ido Hevroni · Russ RobertsJul 6, 202618 min read

Soviet Records and Testimonies Document Poland’s Wartime Deportations

Hoover fellow Norman Naimark uses the institution’s Polish wartime holdings to document the Soviet seizure and deportation of Poles from eastern Poland after 1939. He argues that the collection’s force lies in the combination of survivor testimony and Soviet identity papers: accounts of arrest, boxcar transport, forced labor, hunger and Gulag life, alongside the documents that later allowed some deportees to leave the Soviet Union after the 1941 alliance shift.

Norman NaimarkJul 2, 20265 min read

Colombia’s Runoff Put Security Back at the Center of Democracy

Former Colombian president Iván Duque, in a Hoover Institution conversation with H.R. McMaster, argues that Colombia’s June 2026 runoff was less a left-right contest than a referendum on whether security and constitutional limits remain the basis of democratic rule. Duque says Gustavo Petro’s “total peace” policy amounted to appeasement of armed groups, and that Abelardo de la Espriella’s victory creates an opening to restore rule of law, military pressure on cartels, and investor confidence. He extends the case regionally, urging the United States to treat Colombia and the wider Americas as a strategic democratic community.

Herbert McMaster · Iván Duque · Jenn HenryJul 2, 202618 min read

The American Revolution Was Won by Surviving Britain’s Strategic Failures

Rick Atkinson, the military historian, tells Hoover’s GoodFellows that the American Revolution was won less by overpowering Britain than by surviving an expeditionary counterinsurgency until British strategy, logistics, political intelligence and will broke down. The discussion then turns to contemporary Britain, California and the Democratic Party, where Niall Ferguson and John Cochrane argue that fiscal promises, class politics and primary incentives are pushing democracies toward policies their institutions may not be able to sustain.

Bill Whalen · Niall Ferguson · Rick Atkinson · John Cochrane · Herbert McMasterJul 1, 202625 min read

Indra Nooyi Says American Institutions Made Her PepsiCo Rise Possible

In a Hoover Institution conversation with Condoleezza Rice, former PepsiCo chief executive Indra Nooyi argues that her career was possible because of distinctly American institutions and culture: immigration, meritocratic opportunity, competitive markets, democratic rights, and civic obligation. Nooyi frames her rise from Yale student to Fortune 50 CEO not as a simple immigrant success story, but as a debt to a country that, in her view, welcomed her, tested her, and made contribution the price of gratitude.

Condoleezza Rice · Indra NooyiJul 1, 202618 min read

The Founding’s Strength Is Its Capacity for Self-Correction

Victor Davis Hanson argues in an Uncommon Knowledge interview with Peter Robinson that the American founding should be judged less by the country’s failures in 1776 than by the standard and structure it created for correcting them. Hanson says the Declaration’s equality claim gave abolitionists and civil-rights leaders a principle to wield against slavery and racial hierarchy, while the Constitution’s checks and balances were built for flawed human beings, not enlightened rulers. His defense of the founding extends to federalism, institutional restraint, and ordered liberty as the system’s answer to both administrative rule and calls for refounding.

Victor Hanson · Peter RobinsonJun 29, 202620 min read

Arthroscopic Knee Surgery Failed to Beat Placebo in Chronic Meniscus Tears

On EconTalk, cardiologist John Mandrola makes the case for medical conservatism: many procedures should face stronger evidence before becoming routine, especially when patients may improve through natural recovery, expectation, or the clinical ritual itself. Using placebo-controlled knee surgery and other examples, Mandrola argues that medicine often mistakes improvement after intervention for improvement because of intervention. He tells Russ Roberts that the point is not nihilism, but humility: clinicians should test more, intervene less reflexively, and continue caring even when fixing is not the right goal.

John Mandrola · Russ RobertsJun 29, 202616 min read

Brain Interfaces and Biomarkers Move Neuroscience Toward Targeted Therapies

The Stanford Emerging Technology Review’s neuroscience focus area argues that advances in genetics, experimental tools, and computing are beginning to make the brain measurable and targetable in ways that could affect blindness, neurodegeneration, and addiction. Developed with Stanford biologist Kang Shen, the report also warns that public hype is outrunning scientific understanding, and that the United States will need investment, regulation, ethical safeguards, and international cooperation to turn research into usable therapies.

Jun 23, 20265 min read

Mobile Phones Became Productive Capital for the World’s Poor

Philip Auerswald tells Russ Roberts that the mobile phone’s importance in countries such as Bangladesh was not that it became a cheaper consumer gadget, but that it functioned as productive capital for people excluded from existing infrastructure. Using Iqbal Quadir’s Grameenphone and Strive Masiyiwa’s Econet as central cases, Auerswald argues that progress depends on more than invention: existing technologies have to be recombined with finance, regulation, distribution, and political persistence before they reach most people.

Russ Roberts · Philip AuerswaldJun 22, 202619 min read

Veteran-Led Projects Scale Through Patient Capital, Data, and Community Trust

Hoover Institution Veteran Fellowship Program alumni argue that military experience can start a second career of public problem-solving, but it does not by itself build durable civilian institutions. In a discussion marking five years and 50 veterans in the program, fellows including Trillitye Paullin, Dave Foster, Gregory Eason, Megan Andros, Jeff Chapman, Ben Deda and John Moses describe translating urgency and service into work on affordable housing, health care, food insecurity and Afghan refugee support through capital, data, law, partnerships and local trust.

Gregory Eason · Dave Foster · John Moses · Trillitye Paullin · Megan AndrosJun 22, 202620 min read