Valerie Ramey
Valerie Ramey is the Thomas Sowell Senior Fellow and Deputy Director of Research at the Hoover Institution, a professor emerita of economics at UC San Diego, and a macroeconomist specializing in monetary and fiscal policy, business cycles, government spending multipliers, and economic growth.
Dollar Dominance Could Erode Without a Clear Successor Currency
At a Hoover Institution conference on central-bank independence and international risks, Condoleezza Rice, Arvind Krishnamurthy, Stephen Redding and Kenneth Rogoff argued that dollar dominance can no longer be analyzed apart from U.S. security commitments, fiscal policy, technology competition and trade frictions. The central claim running through the discussion was that the United States still benefits from a powerful reserve-currency position, but that privilege depends on confidence in safe dollar assets and stable institutions. Krishnamurthy quantified the reserve-currency asset as a large interest-rate benefit, while Redding and Rogoff warned that tariffs, fiscal strain and political pressure on the Federal Reserve could make erosion costly even without a clear successor to the dollar.
Central Bank Independence Requires Limits on Tools, Not Just Mandates
At a Hoover Institution conference on central-bank independence, Thomas Drechsel, Luis Garicano and Carolyn Wilkins argued over how far legal insulation can stretch once central banks have large balance sheets, emergency tools and broad theories of monetary transmission. Drechsel used Fed chairs’ calendars to show how the job has become more outward-facing; Garicano warned that the ECB’s narrow mandate has not prevented fiscal, financial and climate-related expansion through its tools; and Wilkins argued that independence can survive only with clearer boundaries, cost-benefit discipline, exit rules and external review.
The American Dream Is Weakening Where Competition and Mobility Are Blocked
In a Hoover Institution discussion moderated by Washington Post columnist Megan McArdle, economists John Cochrane, Valerie Ramey and Ross Levine argue that American prosperity has depended less on wealth itself than on institutions and habits that allow competition, risk-taking, mobility and disruption. They differ on emphasis — Cochrane stresses limits on government and regulatory failure, Levine competition joined to justice and stability, and Ramey education, culture and immigration — but converge on a warning that the American Dream weakens when schools fail, incumbents are protected, fiscal space erodes and politics stops doing routine maintenance.