Jiang Xueqin
Chinese-Canadian educator and geopolitical commentator known as “Professor Jiang.” He is the creator of the Predictive History YouTube channel, where he uses historical and game-theory-based frameworks to discuss global affairs, and teaches at Moonshot Academy in Beijing. Yale-educated.
Insurance Failure Is the Weak Link in Global Trade
Professor Jiang Xueqin argues that modern technology and prosperity rest on a dollar-centred trading system whose specialized supply chains depend on American military power, functioning shipping routes and confidence in financial institutions. In his account, escalating conflict around Iran could disrupt insurable trade, cutting energy and industrial inputs to major economies and setting off a chain of scarcity, migration, political polarization and conflict. His most extreme warning is that a future attacker could seek 9/11-scale psychological shock by targeting financial records and payment infrastructure rather than physical landmarks.
Allied Planning Must Account for a Low-Probability U.S. Expansion Risk
A participant who says he has studied Trump rallies and violent populism argues that Canada, Greenland and Venezuela should treat U.S. territorial rhetoric as a planning risk, even if invasion remains unlikely. He ties the danger to a stronger MAGA coalition after the 2028 election and says Trump’s talk of borders, resources and Greenland has become more consequential since his return to power. Other participants offer possible motives, including demographic pressure, while one cautions that U.S. political division has historical precedents and need not signal national rupture.