Iran MOU Tests Whether U.S. Strikes Created Leverage Over Tehran
At the Aspen Ideas Festival, Fareed Zakaria, Kim Ghattas, Karim Sadjadpour and Mark Dubowitz debated whether the U.S.-Iran war and the subsequent memorandum of understanding left Washington with leverage or exposed the limits of American coercion. Dubowitz argued that U.S. and Israeli strikes badly weakened Iran’s nuclear, missile and proxy capabilities, while Zakaria and Sadjadpour said Tehran may have gained a new strategic weapon in the Strait of Hormuz and learned that escalation works. Ghattas placed the argument in regional terms, warning that Lebanon, Gulf states, Iranians and Israelis are now living inside an unstable cease-fire whose documents are being read differently by every side.
The Aspen Institute·Jun 30, 2026·20 min read
