Prediction-Market Scandals Spur Calls for Insider-Trading Rules
Hard Fork’s Kevin Roose and Casey Newton argue that prediction markets have entered a more dangerous phase, with recent scandals showing how liquid event-betting platforms can reward insider knowledge, manipulation and even national-security breaches before regulators have caught up. The episode broadens that concern into a larger question about technologies whose incentives are outrunning public rules, through Joanna Stern’s year-long test of AI in daily life and Rachel Cohn’s reporting from a Brooklyn school trying to resist the commodification of attention.
Hard Fork·May 8, 2026·22 min read
