Emily Graffeo

Markets Are Pricing Resilience Before Inflation, Liquidity and AI Returns Are Tested

Markets, policymakers and lenders are pricing resilience before oil-driven inflation, liquidity stress and AI returns have been tested. Scrutiny of President Trump’s contact with Fed Chair Kevin Warsh could intensify if higher energy prices force a difficult rate decision, while Situational Awareness has resumed investing after a leverage-driven liquidity crisis without resolving questions about its future risk posture. Alphabet’s $25 billion bond offering, meanwhile, drew demand on the strength of demonstrated infrastructure revenue and cash flow, even as the wider payoff from AI remains unproven.