Orply.

Saylor Sees Bitcoin’s Bull Market Beginning as Regulation and Bank Adoption Accelerate

Michael SaylorBloomberg TechnologyTuesday, October 13, 20263 min read

Strategy Executive Chairman Michael Saylor says Bitcoin is at the beginning of a bull market, pointing to its rise above the 200-week moving average and what he sees as a shift from policy headwinds to favorable conditions. He cites a more supportive regulatory environment and accelerating bank adoption, alongside the growth of tokenized securities and digital credit networks.

Saylor’s bullish case combines a price reference with improving conditions

Michael Saylor says Bitcoin is at the beginning of a bull market. He points to a price measure he normally watches and to a shift in the conditions around the asset: after restrictive policies that he describes as headwinds, he sees regulatory and financial developments turning into tailwinds.

We think we're at the beginning of a bull market.

Michael Saylor

Saylor says Bitcoin had bounced after moving slightly below its 200-week moving average and was now trading at a 25% premium to it. The moving average is the price reference in his account of the market’s direction: he describes a move from below that level to above it, and says the price is moving up.

The host set that view against Bitcoin’s recent performance, saying it had a strong summer but remained about 30% below the previous year’s all-time highs. That leaves two different comparisons in view: Bitcoin’s distance from its earlier peak, and its position relative to the long-term average Saylor says he watches. His bullish outlook is grounded in the latter, alongside his view that the conditions around Bitcoin are changing.

Saylor identifies restrictive trade, foreign and monetary policy as the headwinds. He says the market is now rotating toward tailwinds, led by what he calls a very favorable regulatory environment and accelerating banking adoption. He also names accelerating tokenized securities in the digital-asset space, the formation and strengthening of digital credit networks, and banking credit coming online. Together, these are the developments he describes as auspicious for Bitcoin.

That list connects policy to financial infrastructure. Saylor’s case is not only that regulation has become more favorable; it is also that banks and digital-asset networks are developing ways to participate in the surrounding financial system. He presents those changes as a supportive environment for the asset, alongside the price move he sees against the 200-week average.

The buying graphic shows Strategy’s activity and its concentration

An on-screen graphic supplied a separate picture of Strategy’s own accumulation: the company bought $21 million in Bitcoin the previous week, had made its fifth purchase since August, and held approximately 4% of Bitcoin’s supply. Read together, the figures describe both a recent transaction and a continuing pattern, while placing Strategy’s holdings at a notable share of the overall supply.

The $21 million figure gives the latest purchase a specific scale. The “fifth purchase since August” places it within a sequence rather than presenting it as a one-off buy. And the approximately 4% figure shows how much of the supply the company’s holdings represent, according to the graphic. The measures work at different levels: one concerns a weekly purchase, one the frequency of purchases over time, and one the accumulated position.

Those figures help clarify what Strategy’s activity contributes to the picture. The company was still buying as Saylor described a more favorable setting for Bitcoin, and the graphic showed that its holdings amount to a substantial share of the supply. The information concerns Strategy’s accumulation; it does not establish how broadly other investors or banks are adopting Bitcoin. Saylor’s claims about banking adoption and credit networks are separate parts of his outlook.

The host’s comparison with the prior year’s high also gives the purchase figures context: the graphic documents ongoing buying during a period when Bitcoin, despite its strong summer, was still about 30% below that peak. Saylor’s response to the market question focused instead on the moving-average comparison and the policy and financial tailwinds he says are emerging.

The frontier, in your inbox tomorrow at 08:00.

Sign up free. Pick the industry Briefs you want. Tomorrow morning, they land. No credit card.

Sign up free